With great power comes great responsibility: A report from the frontier of armed conflict forecasting

Pax et Bellum Editorial Board | Analysis, Civil Wars, Global, International Politics, Lovisa Mickelsson, Remco Jansen | , , , , ,

Forecasting violent political crises such as the devastating resource wars of the 1990s or the ongoing conflict in Syria is a dream to researchers and policy-makers. What if we could indeed anticipate these crises; could we save people from the horrors of war? Can data …

Could Brexit summon the ghosts of the Troubles?

Pax et Bellum Editorial Board | Alessandro Fava, Civil Wars, Europe, International Politics, Opinions | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Brexit will be one of the most important political events in Europe after the end of the Cold War. The changes for the United Kingdom and the European Union will be massive. Moreover, the United Kingdom will also face challenges from the inside coming from …

From regime change to authoritarian stability? The Trump presidency and the Syrian Civil War

Pax et Bellum Editorial Board | Americas, Analysis, Aron Woonink, Civil Wars, International Politics, Middle East and North Africa, Opinions | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Many jars of ink have been spilt on Donald Trump’s election last month. Every spectator, whether they’re journalists, policymakers or ordinary citizens, wonders what this remarkable figure’s victory will mean for the US and the rest of the world. Will Muslims be banned from entering …

Brexit, Trump and right-wing movements in Europe – Explaining identity politics

Pax et Bellum Editorial Board | Analysis, Europe, International Politics, Shawn Davies, Suna Voss | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Identity politics is in the news. While identity might be a construct, as the constructivist argument goes, attempts to transcend one identity generally lead into the construction of another. What does this mean for politics and society? The ethnicities of Gujarati and Marathi are united …