With great power comes great responsibility: A report from the frontier of armed conflict forecasting

Pax et Bellum Editorial Board | Analysis, Civil Wars, Global, International Politics, Lovisa Mickelsson, Remco Jansen | , , , , ,

Forecasting violent political crises such as the devastating resource wars of the 1990s or the ongoing conflict in Syria is a dream to researchers and policy-makers. What if we could indeed anticipate these crises; could we save people from the horrors of war? Can data …

How to Define Violence in Aleppo?

Pax et Bellum Editorial Board | Analysis, Civil Wars, Middle East and North Africa, Violence against Civilians | , , , , , , ,

The Mass Violence Awareness Initiative (MVAI) is a non-Governmental Organization which is based in Uppsala, Sweden. It seeks to increase public awareness about incidents of past, current and possible upcoming mass violence, genocide and related phenomena around the world.

There is understandably much use of …

Could Brexit summon the ghosts of the Troubles?

Pax et Bellum Editorial Board | Alessandro Fava, Civil Wars, Europe, International Politics, Opinions | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Brexit will be one of the most important political events in Europe after the end of the Cold War. The changes for the United Kingdom and the European Union will be massive. Moreover, the United Kingdom will also face challenges from the inside coming from …

From regime change to authoritarian stability? The Trump presidency and the Syrian Civil War

Pax et Bellum Editorial Board | Americas, Analysis, Aron Woonink, Civil Wars, International Politics, Middle East and North Africa, Opinions | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Many jars of ink have been spilt on Donald Trump’s election last month. Every spectator, whether they’re journalists, policymakers or ordinary citizens, wonders what this remarkable figure’s victory will mean for the US and the rest of the world. Will Muslims be banned from entering …

What causes rebel recruitment? Into the mind of a former jihadist

Pax et Bellum Editorial Board | Analysis, Barbara Magalhães Teixeira, Civil Wars, Middle East and North Africa, Rebel Recruitment | , , , , , , ,

The TED Talk of Manwar Ali, filmed in April 2016, touches upon a central subject in Peace and Conflict Research: rebel recruitment. He is a former jihadist that shares his experience of joining a rebel group and risking his life for a cause. Through his …