With great power comes great responsibility: A report from the frontier of armed conflict forecasting

Pax et Bellum | Analysis, Civil Wars, Global, International Politics, Lovisa Mickelsson, Remco Jansen | Armed Conflict, Early Warning, Forecasting, Predicting, Prevention, Statistics

Forecasting violent political crises such as the devastating resource wars of the 1990s or the ongoing conflict in Syria is a dream to researchers and policy-makers. What if we could indeed anticipate these crises; could we save people from the horrors of war? Can data …